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Scientific Calculators

M4: Statistical Distributions and Hypothesis Testing

Year 1 / ASYear 2 / A-Level All Boards (AQA, Edexcel, OCR, WJEC, CCEA) AQA

Binomial and Normal distributions, central limit theorem, one- and two-tailed hypothesis tests.

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๐Ÿ“‹ Key Definitions and Core Concepts

Binomial Distribution: X ~ B(n, p) for n independent trials with constant success probability p.
Normal Distribution: X ~ N(ฮผ, ฯƒยฒ) continuous symmetric distribution standardised via Z = (X - ฮผ)/ฯƒ.

๐Ÿ” Key Principles & Specification Requirements

  • Binomial P(X = r) = โฟCแตฃ pสณ (1-p)โฟโปสณ.
  • Reject Hโ‚€ if test statistic falls within critical region or p-value < significance level ฮฑ.
  • Normal distribution 68-95-99.7 rule: ~68.3% within 1ฯƒ, ~95.4% within 2ฯƒ, ~99.7% within 3ฯƒ.

๐Ÿ’ก Worked Example Question

Exam-Style Question

Question:

A fair coin is tossed 20 times. 15 heads are observed. Test at 5% level if the coin is biased.

Model Solution & Mark Scheme:

Hโ‚€: p = 0.5, Hโ‚: p โ‰  0.5 (two-tailed, ฮฑ = 0.025 per tail).
X ~ B(20, 0.5). P(X โ‰ฅ 15) = 1 - P(X โ‰ค 14) = 0.0207.
0.0207 < 0.025 => Reject Hโ‚€; significant evidence of bias.

โ“ Practice Questions & Mark Schemes

Q1: If X ~ N(100, 15ยฒ), find P(85 < X < 115).

Show Model Answer

Answer: Z = ยฑ1. P(-1 < Z < 1) = 0.8413 - 0.1587 = 0.6826 (68.3%).

Q2: State conditions for binomial modeling.

Show Model Answer

Answer: Fixed number of trials n, two outcomes, constant probability p, independent trials.

๐ŸŽฌ Video Resources

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๐Ÿ”— Further Reading & Resources

๐Ÿง  Flashcards (Spaced Repetition)

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๐ŸŽฏ Target Tests (Auto-Graded)

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